Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 23/03/26
Monday 23 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:30 | 
|
CPI Overall Nationwide |
|
1.5% | 1.3% | |
| 23:30 |
|
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year |
|
2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
Wednesday 25 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
-0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Year on Year |
|
3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Month on Month |
|
-0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) |
|
0.2% | -0.8% | |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) |
|
2.9% | 1.9% | |
| 08:00 | 
|
ZEW Investor Sentiment | 9.8 | |||
| 09:00 |
|
ZEW Investor Sentiment | 9.8 | -35 | ||
| 09:00 | 
|
IFO Business Climate Expectations |
|
90.5 | 86.0 | 86.0 |
| 12:30 | 
|
Current Account Balance |
|
-226.4Bln US | -211.0Bln US | -190.7Bln US |
| 14:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 6.156Mln | 0.477Mln | 6.926Mln |
Thursday 26 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-24.7 | -27.0 | -28.0 |
| 07:45 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
91 | 89 | 89 |
| 09:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence | 97.4 | 95.5 | 92.6 |
Friday 27 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-19 | -24 | -21 |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
4.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
1.8% | -0.7% | -0.4% |
| 14:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Conditions |
|
57.8 | 55.8 | |
| 14:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Expectation |
|
54.1 | 51.7 | |
| 14:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Sentiment |
|
55.5 | 54.0 | 53.3 |
Monday 30 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
1.5% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-1.6% | ||
| 09:30 |
|
Money Supply M4 | -0.1% | |||
| 10:00 | 
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-7.1 | -8.0 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
-0.36 | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-16.3 | -16.3 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
98.3 | 96.8 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
5.0 | 3.9 | |
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.2% | 1.1% |
Tuesday 31 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.7% | 2.7% | |
| 00:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | 4.3% | -2.1% | ||
| 00:50 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.8% | 0.8% | |
| 02:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
49.0 | 50.0 | |
| 07:00 |
|
Current Account |
|
-12.067Bln GB | -23.350Bln GB | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
1.0% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.2% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.3% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Final Year on Year | 1.0% | 1.0% | ||
| 07:45 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.5% | ||
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
1k | 2k | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.3% | 6.3% | |
| 13:30 | 
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
91.2 | 88.0 |
Wednesday 01 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index |
|
34 | 33 | |
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index |
|
15 | 16 | |
| 01:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.4 | |||
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.6 | 50.9 | ||
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.2 | 50.2 | ||
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.7 | 51.7 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.4 | 51.4 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 5.1% | |||
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.4 | 51.2 | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.1% | 6.2% | |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
63k | 40k | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month | 0.0% | 0.2% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month | -0.2% | 0.4% | ||
| 14:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.0 | |||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
52.4 | 52.3 | |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 6.926Mln |
Thursday 02 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
2.30% | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.60% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-3.65Bln CA | -1.90Bln CA | |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-54.5Bln US | -61.5Bln US |
Friday 03 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | 0.5% | 0.0% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.4% | 4.4% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
-92k | 55k |
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